We've all seen football games where one team has a two point lead. In such games, it is relatively easy for the lead to change: a field goal would do it.
Some games are three pointers, so that same field goal would only tie things up, and possession changes on the following kickoff.
Other games take a touchdown to tie up or take the lead. These metrics become more and more critical as the clock counts down the quarters.
In terms of the 2012 presidential campaign, we are just starting the fourth quarter and Obama has a nine point lead. It isn't enough for Romney to get a TD, even with a two-point conversion.
Romney must take over the conversation, take control of the field, and retain it for the duration of the campaign. He must also prevent the Obama team from scoring ANY points, or at least limiting them to field goals.
Put briefly: Romney must dominate the debates (doubtful), cough up budget specifics (what for?), keep his mouth shut on current foreign affairs (breaking with tradition), and figure out some way to present himself as a human being with greater-than-zero empathy (laughable). Breaking with one or two of his party's extremist tropes would be good, too (start with that dumbass Norquist pledge--he has anyway).
Good luck with that, Mitt.
I predict Obama winning with 55% of the popular vote and >325 electoral votes.
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